Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 4.154996 4.594311 5.062800 5.600041 6.199675 6.849007 7.606285
2026-01-11 3.405084 4.006121 4.691192 5.531837 6.538360 7.708177 9.175759
2026-01-18 2.872048 3.554164 4.375180 5.440661 6.793399 8.462183 10.690137
2026-01-25 2.477725 3.198603 4.106897 5.342901 6.992686 9.135126 12.154439
2026-02-01 2.175472 2.912135 3.877601 5.246567 7.155462 9.748865 13.583333
2026-02-08 1.934976 2.673877 3.676400 5.150607 7.287825 10.311300 14.979534
2026-02-15 1.756462 2.497858 3.535798 5.113509 7.483727 10.964063 16.557834
2026-02-22 1.649040 2.409070 3.504925 5.223673 7.894666 11.958702 18.747716
2026-03-01 1.520108 2.274797 3.392078 5.194569 8.082812 12.621923 20.477152
2026-03-08 1.378955 2.108519 3.214517 5.044763 8.059940 12.940059 21.662679
2026-03-15 1.279747 1.997753 3.111354 5.000038 8.196342 13.520133 23.341683
2026-03-22 1.223616 1.949710 3.101661 5.103847 8.584712 14.552008 25.918313
2026-03-29 1.166714 1.897511 3.083507 5.196236 8.970412 15.632221 28.741251
2026-04-05 1.100184 1.824077 3.024213 5.212456 9.223578 16.503352 31.282049
2026-04-12 1.028153 1.735505 2.931828 5.161207 9.348016 17.148941 33.461251
2026-04-19 0.958753 1.645973 2.830346 5.083569 9.413902 17.687276 35.485778
2026-04-26 0.894772 1.561045 2.730104 4.998580 9.455721 18.179512 37.469240
2026-05-03 0.836132 1.481299 2.632896 4.910211 9.480891 18.637788 39.430939
2026-05-10 0.790196 1.421329 2.567169 4.876147 9.609656 19.316348 41.954781
2026-05-17 0.766359 1.400507 2.572481 4.981289 10.031029 20.644627 46.110942
2026-05-24 0.727482 1.348440 2.514441 4.953869 10.171678 21.385399 48.993429
2026-05-31 0.677912 1.272479 2.404836 4.811663 10.053169 21.545064 50.501775
2026-06-07 0.643664 1.224032 2.345668 4.769215 10.146917 22.185967 53.268038